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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Falconswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 34 games
62%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 32 games
72%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 31 game
48%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
gpK~ · 30 games
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 27 games
78%
Largo
Largosignature
MieRo · 24 games
71%
Puck
Pucksignature
gpK~ · 24 games
71%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Kataomi · 24 games
75%

Team Falcons

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Cr1t- · 37 games
65%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Skiter · 31 game
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 27 games
67%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 22 games
64%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Cr1t- · 22 games
55%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Sneyking · 22 games
64%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
ATF · 22 games
73%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 21 game
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
511 picks · 361 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
360 picks · 432 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
347 picks · 612 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 484 bans
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
317 picks · 614 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
308 picks · 348 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
303 picks · 217 bans
47%
Rubick
Rubick
301 picks · 165 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 62%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 7
Model total52% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:18
BETBOOM TEAM 49%Team Falcons 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 39:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidKiritych
57% · 55 games48% · 180 games
TerrorbladeSkiter
Terrorblade
Lycan
LycanMieRo
52% · 114 games49% · 69 games
NecrophosATF
Necrophos
Monkey King
Monkey KinggpK~
50% · 119 games45% · 395 games
PangolierMalr1ne
Pangolier
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
53% · 200 games45% · 145 games
UndyingSneyking
Undying
Hoodwink
HoodwinkKataomi
50% · 469 games51% · 168 games
LionCr1t-
Lion
Game 2prediction missed40:8
BETBOOM TEAM 49%Team Falcons 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezKiritych
52% · 177 games53% · 212 games
TimbersawATF
Timbersaw
Snapfire
SnapfiregpK~
52% · 333 games47% · 314 games
Centaur WarrunnerMalr1ne
Centaur Warrunner
Batrider
BatriderMieRo
51% · 222 games54% · 82 games
SvenSkiter
Sven
Rubick
RubickSave-
47% · 149 games46% · 198 games
Dark WillowCr1t-
Dark Willow
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKataomi
59% · 97 games42% · 172 games
UndyingSneyking
Undying
Game 3prediction correct16:25
BETBOOM TEAM 48%Team Falcons 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 44:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenKiritych
48% · 114 games58% · 137 games
Shadow FiendSkiter
Shadow Fiend
Lina
LinagpK~
41% · 65 games58% · 141 game
DoomATF
Doom
Lycan
LycanMieRo
46% · 103 games54% · 149 games
Centaur WarrunnerMalr1ne
Centaur Warrunner
Rubick
RubickSave-
48% · 223 games42% · 110 games
UndyingSneyking
Undying
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKataomi
51% · 123 games53% · 91 game
LionCr1t-
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 52%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3