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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 1:0
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PARIVISIONloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 42 games
62%
Tusk
Tusk
rue · 24 games
54%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Panto · 22 games
64%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 22 games
55%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
rue · 22 games
50%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Collapse · 21 game
62%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 21 game
62%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
62%

PARIVISION

Slardar
Slardarsignature
SSS · 35 games
66%
Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 30 games
73%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 26 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
77%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 22 games
64%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
82%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
561 picks · 345 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
476 picks · 567 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
453 picks · 236 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
434 picks · 362 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
378 picks · 521 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
326 picks · 858 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
318 picks · 800 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
308 picks · 209 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 70%
Hero pool strength55% PARIVISION
Head-to-head5 – 2
Model total79% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:25
Team Spirit 35%PARIVISION 65%
The model gave 65% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 48:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerYatoro
63% · 38 games48% · 183 games
Shadow FiendSatanic
Shadow Fiend
Batrider
BatriderCollapse
53% · 312 games49% · 280 games
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
Storm Spirit
Primal Beast
Primal BeastLarl
48% · 161 game44% · 161 game
AxeNoticed
Axe
Clockwerk
Clockwerkrue
39% · 157 games56% · 72 games
Skywrath Mage9Class
Skywrath Mage
Lion
Lionnot me
52% · 106 games58% · 78 games
Treant ProtectorDukalis
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 79%
Series resultTeam Spirit 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1