BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Kukuysloss 0:2series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:2
InterActive Philippineswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Kukuys
No games played over 6 months.
InterActive Philippines
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
473 picks · 309 bans
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 496 bans
Bane
308 picks · 427 bans
Clockwerk
308 picks · 369 bans
Mirana
293 picks · 109 bans
Shadow Fiend
292 picks · 620 bans
Dark Willow
286 picks · 119 bans
Centaur Warrunner
273 picks · 290 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 42%
Hero pool strength50% Kukuys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Kukuys 75%InterActive Philippines 25%
The model gave 75% on Kukuys — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines.
Game 2prediction missed
Kukuys 75%InterActive Philippines 25%
The model gave 75% on Kukuys — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines.
Model check result
Model favoriteKukuys · 75%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2