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BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
cincai teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangon Galacticos

Lion
Lion
Dric~ · 5 games
60%
Bane
Baneoften banned
Teehee · 4 games
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
75%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Rupido · 3 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Dric~ · 3 games
33%
Luna
Luna
Ksh · 3 games
33%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
0%

cincai team

Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
MangO · 5 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Wonder'boy · 3 games
33%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
TrazaM · 3 games
33%
Bane
Baneoften banned
TrazaM · 2 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Red · 2 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Wonder'boy · 2 games
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Wonder'boy · 2 games
0%
Axe
Axeoften banned
TrazaM · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
473 picks · 309 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 496 bans
57%
Bane
Bane
308 picks · 427 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
308 picks · 369 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
293 picks · 109 bans
52%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
292 picks · 620 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
286 picks · 119 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
273 picks · 290 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Yangon Galacticos 72%cincai team 28%
The model gave 72% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 72%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1