BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Lynxloss 0:1series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TWThe WarriorsQwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Lynx
Dark Willow
QBFY · 33 games
Hoodwink
QBFY · 31 game
Phoenixsignature
kreker · 26 games
Techies
kreker · 26 games
Underlordoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 26 games
Rubick
QBFY · 24 games
Pangolieroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 21 game
Tidehunter
VladikTheHtiviy · 19 games
The WarriorsQ
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
473 picks · 309 bans
Ember Spirit
324 picks · 498 bans
Clockwerk
306 picks · 364 bans
Bane
304 picks · 426 bans
Mirana
294 picks · 110 bans
Shadow Fiend
291 picks · 616 bans
Dark Willow
287 picks · 120 bans
Centaur Warrunner
273 picks · 290 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Lynx 78%The WarriorsQ 22%
The model gave 78% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by The WarriorsQ.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 78%
Series resultThe WarriorsQ 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1