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Riyadh Masters 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:0
KEVloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

G2 Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

KEV

Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
ELeVeN · 8 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Undyne_ · 7 games
100%
Omniknight
Omniknightsignature
ELeVeN · 7 games
71%
Pudge
Pudgeoften banned
Undyne_ · 7 games
43%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 6 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 6 games
33%
Razor
Razoroften banned
ELeVeN · 6 games
50%
Techies
Techies
Undyne_ · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
479 picks · 222 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
438 picks · 680 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
426 picks · 601 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
416 picks · 382 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
414 picks · 746 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
379 picks · 164 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
355 picks · 754 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
345 picks · 1023 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% KEV
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total93% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:11
G2 Invictus Gaming 93%KEV 7%
The model gave 93% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by KEV in 41:27.
Game 2prediction missed33:26
G2 Invictus Gaming 93%KEV 7%
The model gave 93% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by KEV in 43:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 93%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2