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Riyadh Masters 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
TNC Predatorloss 0:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Blacklist Internationalwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

TNC Predator

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 18 games
67%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Palos · 17 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Abed · 16 games
44%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Abed · 16 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Gabbi · 15 games
47%
Luna
Luna
Palos · 14 games
43%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gabbi · 13 games
77%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Gabbi · 12 games
58%

Blacklist International

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
478 picks · 221 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
435 picks · 669 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
415 picks · 596 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
413 picks · 380 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
412 picks · 738 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
376 picks · 161 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
354 picks · 754 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
342 picks · 1012 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 56%
Hero pool strength56% TNC Predator
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Blacklist International
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:38
TNC Predator 45%Blacklist International 55%
The model gave 55% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 48:57.
Game 2prediction missed43:22
TNC Predator 45%Blacklist International 55%
The model gave 55% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 48:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlacklist International · 55%
Series resultBlacklist International 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2