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Riyadh Masters 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Blacklist Internationalloss 0:2
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bleed Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Blacklist International

No games played over 6 months.

Bleed Esports

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
DJ · 8 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
JaCkky · 7 games
71%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
JaCkky · 7 games
57%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
DJ · 6 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mikoto · 6 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Poloson · 5 games
80%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
DJ · 5 games
40%
Rubick
Rubick
DJ · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
466 picks · 220 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
414 picks · 654 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
399 picks · 567 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 369 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
395 picks · 707 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
369 picks · 160 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
354 picks · 754 bans
53%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
332 picks · 942 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 36%
Hero pool strength53% Bleed Esports
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total72% Blacklist International
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:14
Blacklist International 72%Bleed Esports 28%
The model gave 72% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Bleed Esports in 52:45.
Game 2prediction missed23:21
Blacklist International 72%Bleed Esports 28%
The model gave 72% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Bleed Esports in 42:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlacklist International · 72%
Series resultBleed Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2