Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Leviatanwin 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
VUVamos Ugloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Leviatan
Kunkkaoften banned
kpii · 4 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Stojkov · 4 games
Death Prophetoften banned
kpii · 3 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Sammyboy · 3 games
Rubick
Taiga · 3 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Sammyboy · 2 games
Earth Spirit
Taiga · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Stojkov · 2 games
Vamos Ug
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
466 picks · 220 bans
Tiny
414 picks · 650 bans
Centaur Warrunner
399 picks · 563 bans
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 368 bans
Batrider
395 picks · 707 bans
Rubick
369 picks · 160 bans
Pangolier
354 picks · 754 bans
Shadow Demon
332 picks · 939 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Leviatan
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Leviatan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:25
Leviatan 78%Vamos Ug 22%
The model gave 78% on Leviatan — the game was taken by Leviatan in 28:47.
Game 2prediction correct7:37
Leviatan 78%Vamos Ug 22%
The model gave 78% on Leviatan — the game was taken by Leviatan in 21:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeviatan · 78%
Series resultLeviatan 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2