Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLCLa Correntadaloss 0:2
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ALApex Legacywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
La Correntada
No games played over 6 months.
Apex Legacy
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
466 picks · 220 bans
Tiny
415 picks · 647 bans
Centaur Warrunner
399 picks · 564 bans
Gyrocopter
398 picks · 368 bans
Batrider
395 picks · 706 bans
Rubick
369 picks · 160 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 754 bans
Shadow Demon
332 picks · 940 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% La Correntada
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Apex Legacy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:56
La Correntada 21%Apex Legacy 79%
The model gave 79% on Apex Legacy — the game was taken by Apex Legacy in 55:25.
Game 2prediction correct20:59
La Correntada 21%Apex Legacy 79%
The model gave 79% on Apex Legacy — the game was taken by Apex Legacy in 1:05:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteApex Legacy · 79%
Series resultApex Legacy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2