?
arrow_backBack to match
Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TNC Predatorwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangon Galacticos

Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
100%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
0%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Ksh · 1 game
0%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
100%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%

TNC Predator

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 18 games
67%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Palos · 17 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Abed · 16 games
44%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Palos · 14 games
43%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Gabbi · 14 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Abed · 14 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gabbi · 12 games
75%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Tims · 12 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
467 picks · 222 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 644 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
395 picks · 705 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
395 picks · 566 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
368 picks · 159 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
355 picks · 756 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
330 picks · 937 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 71%
Hero pool strength58% TNC Predator
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% TNC Predator
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Yangon Galacticos 30%TNC Predator 70%
The model gave 70% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by TNC Predator.
Game 2prediction correct
Yangon Galacticos 30%TNC Predator 70%
The model gave 70% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by TNC Predator.
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC Predator · 70%
Series resultTNC Predator 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2