BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionTWThe WarriorsQloss 0:1
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 0:1
CNCyber Novawin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The WarriorsQ
No games played over 6 months.
Cyber Nova
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
469 picks · 307 bans
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 497 bans
Bane
302 picks · 422 bans
Clockwerk
302 picks · 360 bans
Mirana
293 picks · 110 bans
Shadow Fiend
289 picks · 611 bans
Dark Willow
286 picks · 120 bans
Centaur Warrunner
273 picks · 290 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% The WarriorsQ
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% The WarriorsQ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
The WarriorsQ 73%Cyber Nova 27%
The model gave 73% on The WarriorsQ — the game was taken by Cyber Nova.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe WarriorsQ · 73%
Series resultCyber Nova 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1