Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction4A4 amigoswin 1:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:0
THThe Hutloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 amigos
Mirana
albinozebra · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
monkeys-forever · 3 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Double King · 3 games
Puckoften banned
RCY · 3 games
Death Prophetoften banned
monkeys-forever · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Double King · 2 games
Omniknightoften banned
monkeys-forever · 2 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
RCY · 2 games
The Hut
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
467 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
413 picks · 644 bans
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
Batrider
395 picks · 705 bans
Centaur Warrunner
395 picks · 566 bans
Rubick
368 picks · 159 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 756 bans
Shadow Demon
330 picks · 937 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% 4 amigos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% 4 amigos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
4 amigos 57%The Hut 43%
The model gave 57% on 4 amigos — the game was taken by 4 amigos.
Model check result
Model favorite4 amigos · 57%
Series result4 amigos 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1