Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 0:1series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Dragon Esportswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
B8 Esports
Magnusoften banned
Dendi · 16 games
Shadow Shaman
CTOMAHEH1 · 14 games
Crystal Maiden
Mary_y · 12 games
Batrideroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
Grimstroke
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
Gyrocopter
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
Bane
Mary_y · 10 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
StoneBank · 10 games
Dragon Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
465 picks · 221 bans
Tiny
408 picks · 638 bans
Gyrocopter
398 picks · 366 bans
Batrider
394 picks · 697 bans
Centaur Warrunner
393 picks · 561 bans
Rubick
366 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 756 bans
Shadow Demon
330 picks · 928 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 43%
Hero pool strength57% Dragon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% B8 Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed4:24
B8 Esports 67%Dragon Esports 33%
The model gave 67% on B8 Esports — the game was taken by Dragon Esports in 35:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 Esports · 67%
Series resultDragon Esports 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1