FISSURE Universe: Episode 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 0:2series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Techiessignature
9Class · 49 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 37 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Tobi · 32 games
Lunasignature
Pure~ · 27 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 24 games
Snipersignature
Topson · 24 games
Brewmastersignature
Tobi · 23 games
Batrideroften banned
9Class · 21 game
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
473 picks · 224 bans
Tiny
416 picks · 631 bans
Batrider
408 picks · 712 bans
Gyrocopter
402 picks · 361 bans
Centaur Warrunner
392 picks · 574 bans
Rubick
373 picks · 159 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 772 bans
Shadow Demon
334 picks · 939 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 66%
Hero pool strength60% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head7 – 1
Model total75% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:29
Tundra Esports 75%Entity 25%
The model gave 75% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Entity in 29:29.
Game 2prediction missed15:26
Tundra Esports 75%Entity 25%
The model gave 75% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Entity in 37:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 75%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2