Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
South Teamloss 0:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cuyes Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
South Team
Dawnbreakeroften banned
ArzenT · 5 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
ArzenT · 4 games
Hoodwink
MonHty · 4 games
Lion
MonHty · 4 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
TaiLung · 2 games
Enigmaoften banned
ArzenT · 2 games
Ogre Magi
Wij · 2 games
Tidehunter
ArzenT · 2 games
Cuyes Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
478 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
423 picks · 637 bans
Batrider
415 picks · 721 bans
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 361 bans
Centaur Warrunner
402 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
377 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
367 picks · 786 bans
Shadow Demon
336 picks · 949 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% Cuyes Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Cuyes Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
South Team 34%Cuyes Esports 66%
The model gave 66% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
South Team 34%Cuyes Esports 66%
The model gave 66% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteCuyes Esports · 66%
Series resultCuyes Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2