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Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
South Teamwin 2:1
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Qhaliloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

South Team

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
ArzenT · 5 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
ArzenT · 4 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
MonHty · 4 games
50%
Lion
Lion
MonHty · 4 games
75%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
TaiLung · 2 games
50%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
ArzenT · 2 games
50%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Wij · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
ArzenT · 2 games
50%

Qhali

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
DaaD- · 1 game
0%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
0%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
478 picks · 222 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
423 picks · 637 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
415 picks · 721 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 361 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
402 picks · 579 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
377 picks · 162 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
367 picks · 786 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
336 picks · 949 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 38%
Hero pool strength56% South Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Qhali
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
South Team 47%Qhali 53%
The model gave 53% on Qhali — the game was taken by Qhali.
Game 2prediction missed
South Team 47%Qhali 53%
The model gave 53% on Qhali — the game was taken by South Team.
Game 3prediction missed
South Team 47%Qhali 53%
The model gave 53% on Qhali — the game was taken by South Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteQhali · 53%
Series resultSouth Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3