BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionCNCyber Novaloss 0:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
DBDawn Bullswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cyber Nova
No games played over 6 months.
Dawn Bulls
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
469 picks · 307 bans
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 497 bans
Bane
302 picks · 422 bans
Clockwerk
302 picks · 360 bans
Mirana
293 picks · 110 bans
Shadow Fiend
289 picks · 611 bans
Dark Willow
286 picks · 120 bans
Centaur Warrunner
273 picks · 290 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Cyber Nova
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Dawn Bulls
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Cyber Nova 28%Dawn Bulls 72%
The model gave 72% on Dawn Bulls — the game was taken by Dawn Bulls.
Game 2prediction correct
Cyber Nova 28%Dawn Bulls 72%
The model gave 72% on Dawn Bulls — the game was taken by Dawn Bulls.
Model check result
Model favoriteDawn Bulls · 72%
Series resultDawn Bulls 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2