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DreamLeague Season 23 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 27 games
44%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 25 games
64%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 23 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 23 games
65%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 22 games
55%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 18 games
72%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
gpK~ · 18 games
44%

Xtreme Gaming

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 27 games
70%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 21 game
71%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 21 game
48%
Mars
Marssignature
Xxs · 20 games
60%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
XinQ · 19 games
74%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 17 games
65%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 17 games
71%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Xm · 17 games
76%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
481 picks · 221 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
424 picks · 638 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
416 picks · 723 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 361 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
403 picks · 581 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
380 picks · 162 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
368 picks · 786 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
338 picks · 952 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 54%
Hero pool strength55% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total63% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:11
BETBOOM TEAM 43%Xtreme Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 53:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaNightfall
40% · 15 games56% · 104 games
Naga SirenAme
Naga Siren
Void Spirit
Void SpiritgpK~
39% · 67 games51% · 101 game
WeaverXinQ
Weaver
Slardar
SlardarMieRo
55% · 40 games50% · 47 games
Ancient ApparitionXm
Ancient Apparition
Batrider
BatriderTORONTOTOKYO
54% · 156 games44% · 36 games
AxeXxs
Axe
Muerta
MuertaSave-
51% · 95 games50% · 85 games
SilencerDy
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed22:5
BETBOOM TEAM 43%Xtreme Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 29:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyNightfall
53% · 225 games46% · 166 games
TerrorbladeAme
Terrorblade
Lycan
LycanMieRo
52% · 65 games48% · 167 games
RazorXm
Razor
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
51% · 209 games50% · 310 games
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
Centaur Warrunner
Phoenix
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
47% · 170 games47% · 141 game
Dark WillowXinQ
Dark Willow
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeSave-
53% · 187 games54% · 72 games
SilencerDy
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 63%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2