Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Kalmychatawin 2:0series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ASAKURAloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Kalmychata
Bane
smN · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
hina · 2 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
rincyq · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
hina · 1 game
Lunaoften banned
rincyq · 1 game
Phantom Assassin
rincyq · 1 game
Treant Protector
smN · 1 game
ASAKURA
Techiessignature
Lil · 15 games
Grimstrokesignature
Hduo · 14 games
Marssignature
laise · 14 games
Pugnasignature
Hduo · 14 games
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 13 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
laise · 12 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Kami · 12 games
Lionsignature
Lil · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
483 picks · 223 bans
Tiny
425 picks · 641 bans
Batrider
420 picks · 725 bans
Centaur Warrunner
404 picks · 581 bans
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 363 bans
Rubick
384 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
370 picks · 790 bans
Shadow Demon
340 picks · 954 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 38%
Hero pool strength59% ASAKURA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% ASAKURA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Kalmychata 39%ASAKURA 61%
The model gave 61% on ASAKURA — the game was taken by Kalmychata.
Game 2prediction missed
Kalmychata 39%ASAKURA 61%
The model gave 61% on ASAKURA — the game was taken by Kalmychata.
Model check result
Model favoriteASAKURA · 61%
Series resultKalmychata 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2