Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Dandelionswin 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
B8 Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
B8 Esports
Shadow Shaman
CTOMAHEH1 · 19 games
Magnusoften banned
Dendi · 17 games
Chenoften banned
Mary_y · 14 games
Grimstroke
CTOMAHEH1 · 14 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
StoneBank · 13 games
Crystal Maiden
Mary_y · 12 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Dendi · 12 games
Batrideroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
484 picks · 223 bans
Tiny
429 picks · 643 bans
Batrider
422 picks · 728 bans
Centaur Warrunner
405 picks · 582 bans
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 363 bans
Rubick
389 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
371 picks · 794 bans
Shadow Demon
341 picks · 957 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 33%
Hero pool strength53% Dandelions
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total66% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Dandelions 66%B8 Esports 34%
The model gave 66% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions.
Game 2prediction correct
Dandelions 66%B8 Esports 34%
The model gave 66% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 66%
Series resultDandelions 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2