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Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Hydraloss 0:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:1
SIBE Teamwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hydra

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
hina · 3 games
33%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
JANTER · 2 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
xsvampire · 2 games
0%
Abaddon
Abaddon
kur0patbI4 · 1 game
0%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Retsu · 1 game
0%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
krylat · 1 game
0%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
JANTER · 1 game
0%

SIBE Team

Rubick
Rubick
sunset · 31 game
35%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
sunset · 20 games
45%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
SOhY · 17 games
53%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
nesfeer · 16 games
25%
Puck
Pucksignature
ряф^^ · 16 games
69%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
ряф^^ · 15 games
47%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
ряф^^ · 15 games
60%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
SOhY · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 224 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
434 picks · 644 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
423 picks · 730 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
406 picks · 584 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 364 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
390 picks · 162 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
373 picks · 799 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
344 picks · 961 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 48%
Hero pool strength52% SIBE Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total57% SIBE Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Hydra 43%SIBE Team 57%
The model gave 57% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by SIBE Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteSIBE Team · 57%
Series resultSIBE Team 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1