Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Midas Clubwin 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FSFree Stackloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Midas Club
Crystal Maidensignature
Wij · 10 games
Techies
Hyko · 9 games
Disruptoroften banned
Wij · 5 games
Chenoften banned
Hyko · 4 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
4dr · 4 games
Gyrocopter
Costabile · 4 games
Marsoften banned
4dr · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Costabile · 4 games
Free Stack
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 643 bans
Batrider
423 picks · 725 bans
Centaur Warrunner
405 picks · 584 bans
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 364 bans
Rubick
389 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 798 bans
Shadow Demon
344 picks · 958 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% Midas Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Midas Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Midas Club 67%Free Stack 33%
The model gave 67% on Midas Club — the game was taken by Midas Club.
Game 2prediction correct
Midas Club 67%Free Stack 33%
The model gave 67% on Midas Club — the game was taken by Midas Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteMidas Club · 67%
Series resultMidas Club 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2