Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Dandelionsloss 1:2series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:2
JustBetterwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
JustBetter
Dragon Knightoften banned
ThuG · 7 games
Batridersignature
Astral · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
Focus · 6 games
Kunkkaoften banned
SkyLark · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
SsaSpartan · 4 games
Grimstroke
SsaSpartan · 4 games
Hoodwink
Astral · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Focus · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
488 picks · 221 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 645 bans
Batrider
422 picks · 726 bans
Centaur Warrunner
405 picks · 583 bans
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 364 bans
Rubick
389 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 798 bans
Shadow Demon
344 picks · 958 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 39%
Hero pool strength56% Dandelions
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total67% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Dandelions 67%JustBetter 33%
The model gave 67% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions.
Game 2prediction missed
Dandelions 67%JustBetter 33%
The model gave 67% on Dandelions — the game was taken by JustBetter.
Game 3prediction missed
Dandelions 67%JustBetter 33%
The model gave 67% on Dandelions — the game was taken by JustBetter.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 67%
Series resultJustBetter 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3