Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTteam_monkeys-win 2:1
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
LCLa Correntadaloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
team_monkeys-
Lifestealeroften banned
Double King · 7 games
Mirana
albinozebra · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
monkeys-forever · 3 games
Broodmotheroften banned
monkeys-forever · 3 games
Enchantressoften banned
albinozebra · 3 games
Vengeful Spirit
albinozebra · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
monkeys-forever · 2 games
Chenoften banned
albinozebra · 2 games
La Correntada
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 219 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 643 bans
Batrider
421 picks · 727 bans
Centaur Warrunner
406 picks · 583 bans
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 364 bans
Rubick
390 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 801 bans
Shadow Demon
344 picks · 960 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 36%
Hero pool strength51% team_monkeys-
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% team_monkeys-
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
team_monkeys- 72%La Correntada 28%
The model gave 72% on team_monkeys- — the game was taken by team_monkeys-.
Game 2prediction missed
team_monkeys- 72%La Correntada 28%
The model gave 72% on team_monkeys- — the game was taken by La Correntada.
Game 3prediction correct
team_monkeys- 72%La Correntada 28%
The model gave 72% on team_monkeys- — the game was taken by team_monkeys-.
Model check result
Model favoriteteam_monkeys- · 72%
Series resultteam_monkeys- 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3