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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PARIVISIONwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 62 games
66%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 56 games
66%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 54 games
61%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kaori · 49 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 47 games
72%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Nightfall · 41 game
71%
Mars
Marssignature
Ws · 38 games
61%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 36 games
64%

PARIVISION

Slardar
Slardarsignature
SSS · 35 games
66%
Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 30 games
73%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 26 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
77%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 22 games
64%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
82%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
561 picks · 344 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
477 picks · 566 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
452 picks · 236 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
432 picks · 361 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
376 picks · 519 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
323 picks · 859 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
318 picks · 800 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
309 picks · 209 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 70%
Hero pool strength52% PARIVISION
Head-to-head4 – 4
Model total64% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:35
Aurora Gaming 41%PARIVISION 59%
The model gave 59% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 31:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMikoto
43% · 332 games53% · 288 games
Shadow FiendSatanic
Shadow Fiend
Tiny
TinyNightfall
46% · 394 games50% · 288 games
Void SpiritNo[o]ne
Void Spirit
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerWs
44% · 209 games51% · 206 games
AxeNoticed
Axe
Clockwerk
ClockwerkMira
49% · 158 games55% · 202 games
Nature's Prophet9Class
Nature's Prophet
Venomancer
VenomancerKaori
48% · 64 games64% · 173 games
BaneDukalis
Bane
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 64%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1