Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionRERandoms Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Midas Clubwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Randoms Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Midas Club
Crystal Maidensignature
Wij · 10 games
Techies
Hyko · 9 games
Disruptoroften banned
Wij · 5 games
Chenoften banned
Hyko · 4 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
4dr · 4 games
Gyrocopter
Costabile · 4 games
Marsoften banned
4dr · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Costabile · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 219 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 643 bans
Batrider
421 picks · 727 bans
Centaur Warrunner
406 picks · 583 bans
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 364 bans
Rubick
390 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 801 bans
Shadow Demon
344 picks · 960 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Midas Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Midas Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Randoms Esports 22%Midas Club 78%
The model gave 78% on Midas Club — the game was taken by Midas Club.
Game 2prediction correct
Randoms Esports 22%Midas Club 78%
The model gave 78% on Midas Club — the game was taken by Midas Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteMidas Club · 78%
Series resultMidas Club 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2