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Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Midas Clubwin 1:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:0
South Teamloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Midas Club

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Wij · 10 games
60%
Techies
Techies
Hyko · 9 games
44%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Wij · 5 games
80%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Hyko · 4 games
25%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
4dr · 4 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Costabile · 4 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
4dr · 4 games
75%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Costabile · 4 games
75%

South Team

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
ArzenT · 5 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
ArzenT · 4 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
MonHty · 4 games
50%
Lion
Lion
MonHty · 4 games
75%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
TaiLung · 2 games
50%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
ArzenT · 2 games
50%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Wij · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
ArzenT · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 219 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
432 picks · 643 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
421 picks · 727 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
406 picks · 583 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 364 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
390 picks · 162 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
374 picks · 801 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
344 picks · 960 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 33%
Hero pool strength55% Midas Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Midas Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Midas Club 72%South Team 28%
The model gave 72% on Midas Club — the game was taken by Midas Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteMidas Club · 72%
Series resultMidas Club 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1