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RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 1:2
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Dandelionswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 21 game
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panto · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 16 games
50%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 16 games
44%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 15 games
40%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
RAMZES666 · 15 games
53%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 13 games
69%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OneJey · 12 games
42%

Dandelions

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
491 picks · 218 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
432 picks · 640 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
421 picks · 725 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
406 picks · 581 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 363 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
390 picks · 163 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
374 picks · 802 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
345 picks · 959 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 46%
Hero pool strength50% HULIGANI
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total70% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:5
HULIGANI 70%Dandelions 30%
The model gave 70% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 16:58.
Game 2prediction missed12:35
HULIGANI 70%Dandelions 30%
The model gave 70% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Dandelions in 29:15.
Game 3prediction missed14:30
HULIGANI 70%Dandelions 30%
The model gave 70% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Dandelions in 33:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 70%
Series resultDandelions 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3