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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:1
OGwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Bane
Bane
KJ · 3 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Wisper · 3 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Thiolicor · 3 games
67%
Kez
Kezoften banned
TaiLung · 3 games
100%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
Yuma · 3 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
KJ · 3 games
67%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Thiolicor · 3 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Wisper · 2 games
100%

OG

Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 16 games
38%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Skem · 15 games
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Force · 15 games
40%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Natsumi · 15 games
60%
Chen
Chensignature
Skem · 14 games
64%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Skem · 14 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Tims · 14 games
36%
Axe
Axe
Force · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
560 picks · 344 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
476 picks · 566 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
452 picks · 235 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
431 picks · 360 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
375 picks · 519 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
323 picks · 857 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
317 picks · 799 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
309 picks · 209 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 24%
Hero pool strength56% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:32
LGD Gaming 57%OG 43%
The model gave 57% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by OG in 47:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendYuma
55% · 249 games58% · 160 games
AbaddonNatsumi
Abaddon
Kez
KezTaiLung
51% · 86 games42% · 156 games
TimbersawTORONTOTOKYO
Timbersaw
Axe
AxeWisper
42% · 206 games47% · 208 games
Queen of PainYopaj
Queen of Pain
Lion
LionThiolicor
49% · 81 game46% · 54 games
Spirit BreakerTims
Spirit Breaker
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorKJ
59% · 80 games54% · 124 games
BaneSkem
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 59%
Series resultOG 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1