?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 23 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Tundra Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 28 games
57%
Batrider
Batridersignature
tOfu · 21 game
81%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
dyrachyo · 17 games
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
tOfu · 17 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 17 games
76%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ace · 16 games
50%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Quinn · 16 games
56%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 15 games
73%

Tundra Esports

Techies
Techiessignature
9Class · 49 games
80%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 37 games
68%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Tobi · 30 games
73%
Luna
Lunasignature
Pure~ · 27 games
78%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 24 games
50%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Topson · 24 games
71%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Tobi · 23 games
78%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 20 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 218 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
433 picks · 639 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
419 picks · 726 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
405 picks · 581 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 363 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
390 picks · 162 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
374 picks · 802 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
345 picks · 957 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 48%
Hero pool strength54% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total57% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:15
Gaimin Gladiators 47%Tundra Esports 53%
The model gave 53% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 28:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracQuinn
55% · 100 games54% · 57 games
Troll WarlordPure~
Troll Warlord
Juggernaut
Juggernautdyrachyo
45% · 44 games43% · 116 games
WindrangerTopson
Windranger
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderAce
52% · 48 games48% · 55 games
SlardarRAMZES666
Slardar
Gyrocopter
GyrocoptertOfu
49% · 147 games45% · 40 games
Muerta9Class
Muerta
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSeleri
56% · 191 game50% · 262 games
BatriderWhitemon
Batrider
Game 2prediction missed22:12
Gaimin Gladiators 45%Tundra Esports 55%
The model gave 55% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 28:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
Tinydyrachyo
49% · 293 games50% · 34 games
BristlebackPure~
Bristleback
Leshrac
LeshracQuinn
55% · 165 games41% · 85 games
ZeusTopson
Zeus
Axe
AxeAce
41% · 37 games49% · 183 games
Centaur WarrunnerRAMZES666
Centaur Warrunner
Dark Willow
Dark WillowtOfu
54% · 152 games50% · 255 games
Batrider9Class
Batrider
Venomancer
VenomancerSeleri
58% · 74 games51% · 164 games
Crystal MaidenWhitemon
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 57%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2