Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HardBass Teamloss 0:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:1
LULevel UP MarsBahiswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HardBass Team
No games played over 6 months.
Level UP MarsBahis
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 218 bans
Tiny
433 picks · 639 bans
Batrider
419 picks · 726 bans
Centaur Warrunner
405 picks · 581 bans
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 363 bans
Rubick
390 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 802 bans
Shadow Demon
345 picks · 957 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 45%
Hero pool strength50% HardBass Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% HardBass Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
HardBass Team 58%Level UP MarsBahis 42%
The model gave 58% on HardBass Team — the game was taken by Level UP MarsBahis.
Model check result
Model favoriteHardBass Team · 58%
Series resultLevel UP MarsBahis 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1