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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 1:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Tundra Esportsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Tiny
Tinysignature
Skiter · 31 game
74%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 28 games
68%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 26 games
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
60%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
64%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Sneyking · 23 games
61%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 23 games
52%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
73%

Tundra Esports

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Whitemon · 37 games
68%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Ari · 32 games
69%
Tiny
Tinysignature
bzm · 31 game
61%
Invoker
Invokersignature
bzm · 30 games
70%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
33 · 30 games
47%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 29 games
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
bzm · 27 games
63%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 27 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
560 picks · 344 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
478 picks · 567 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
452 picks · 235 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
431 picks · 360 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
375 picks · 518 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
325 picks · 856 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
317 picks · 801 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 49%
Hero pool strength51% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head7 – 3
Model total74% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:9
Team Falcons 64%Tundra Esports 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 27:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinySkiter
50% · 448 games46% · 287 games
Shadow FiendPure~
Shadow Fiend
Viper
ViperMalr1ne
49% · 106 games43% · 380 games
Storm Spiritbzm
Storm Spirit
Doom
DoomATF
48% · 168 games55% · 354 games
Centaur Warrunner33
Centaur Warrunner
Chen
ChenSneyking
59% · 184 games53% · 138 games
Treant ProtectorWhitemon
Treant Protector
Hoodwink
HoodwinkCr1t-
50% · 397 games50% · 144 games
LionAri
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 74%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1