BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 0:1series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Xtreme Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 42 games
Tusk
rue · 23 games
Jakirosignature
Panto · 22 games
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 22 games
Ringmaster
rue · 22 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
Batridersignature
Collapse · 20 games
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 20 games
Xtreme Gaming
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 30 games
Hoodwinksignature
fy · 29 games
Warlock
xNova · 29 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 27 games
Primal Beast
Xxs · 27 games
Tiny
NothingToSay · 26 games
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 25 games
Ember Spiritsignature
NothingToSay · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
560 picks · 343 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
451 picks · 235 bans
Tiny
430 picks · 359 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 517 bans
Puck
324 picks · 856 bans
Beastmaster
316 picks · 801 bans
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 39%
Hero pool strength52% Team Spirit
Head-to-head5 – 4
Model total68% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:37
Team Spirit 61%Xtreme Gaming 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 48:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinyYatoro
KezAme
PangolierLarl
BeastmasterXxs
SlardarCollapse
Monkey KingNothingToSay
Rubicknot me
Techiesfy
Grimstrokerue
LichxNova
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 68%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1