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DreamLeague Season 23 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Shopify Rebellionloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 26 games
42%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 24 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 23 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 22 games
59%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 22 games
55%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 18 games
72%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
gpK~ · 18 games
44%

Shopify Rebellion

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SabeRLight- · 22 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Yopaj · 22 games
64%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SabeRLight- · 21 game
43%
Lion
Lionsignature
Thiolicor · 19 games
63%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
SabeRLight- · 15 games
47%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Thiolicor · 14 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Yopaj · 13 games
69%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Arteezy · 12 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 217 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
434 picks · 638 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
417 picks · 725 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
407 picks · 576 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 361 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
391 picks · 164 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
375 picks · 797 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
342 picks · 954 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 33%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head6 – 2
Model total59% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:5
BETBOOM TEAM 54%Shopify Rebellion 46%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 40:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
48% · 189 games51% · 151 game
LifestealerArteezy
Lifestealer
Death Prophet
Death ProphetgpK~
57% · 60 games52% · 182 games
Dragon KnightYopaj
Dragon Knight
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
45% · 219 games48% · 29 games
UnderlordSabeRLight-
Underlord
Muerta
MuertaSave-
49% · 37 games45% · 286 games
TechiesSkem
Techies
Mirana
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
56% · 143 games
Game 2prediction correct25:19
BETBOOM TEAM 56%Shopify Rebellion 44%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerNightfall
53% · 31 game51% · 182 games
TimbersawYopaj
Timbersaw
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
48% · 170 games43% · 145 games
RazorArteezy
Razor
Lycan
LycanMieRo
52% · 45 games46% · 219 games
MarsSabeRLight-
Mars
Batrider
BatriderTORONTOTOKYO
57% · 258 games54% · 84 games
BaneSkem
Bane
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeSave-
49% · 126 games
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 59%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2