Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LULevel UP MarsBahisloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Level UP MarsBahis
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 217 bans
Tiny
435 picks · 638 bans
Batrider
415 picks · 727 bans
Centaur Warrunner
408 picks · 574 bans
Gyrocopter
403 picks · 361 bans
Rubick
394 picks · 164 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 791 bans
Shadow Demon
340 picks · 949 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Dandelions
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Dandelions 64%Level UP MarsBahis 36%
The model gave 64% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions.
Game 2prediction correct
Dandelions 64%Level UP MarsBahis 36%
The model gave 64% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 64%
Series resultDandelions 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2