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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
OGwin 1:0
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:0
GLYPHloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 16 games
38%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Skem · 15 games
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Force · 15 games
40%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Natsumi · 15 games
60%
Chen
Chensignature
Skem · 14 games
64%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Skem · 14 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Tims · 14 games
36%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 13 games
62%

GLYPH

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 10 games
60%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 8 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 7 games
71%
Kez
Kezoften banned
JaCkky · 5 games
80%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 4 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 4 games
75%
Largo
Largooften banned
zeal · 4 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
JaCkky · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
558 picks · 343 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
477 picks · 567 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
451 picks · 235 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
430 picks · 358 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
374 picks · 515 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
324 picks · 854 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
316 picks · 799 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)21% vs 58%
Hero pool strength53% GLYPH
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total71% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:11
OG 61%GLYPH 39%
The model gave 61% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 37:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNatsumi
47% · 224 games45% · 98 games
KezEmo
Kez
Snapfire
SnapfireYopaj
53% · 383 games44% · 124 games
Dark Seerzeal
Dark Seer
Axe
AxeTORONTOTOKYO
49% · 225 games58% · 175 games
Monkey KingJaCkky
Monkey King
Lion
LionTims
55% · 136 games49% · 309 games
WarlockNARMAN
Warlock
Bane
BaneSkem
53% · 186 games48% · 448 games
HoodwinkJhocam
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 71%
Series resultOG 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1