BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 1:0series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PARIVISIONloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Batrideroften banned
Wisper · 3 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
KJ · 3 games
Windrangeroften banned
Thiolicor · 3 games
Bane
KJ · 2 games
Hoodwink
Thiolicor · 2 games
Kezoften banned
TaiLung · 2 games
Necrophosoften banned
Yuma · 2 games
Snapfire
Wisper · 2 games
PARIVISION
Slardarsignature
SSS · 35 games
Kezsignature
Satanic · 30 games
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 25 games
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 22 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
558 picks · 343 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
451 picks · 235 bans
Tiny
430 picks · 358 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 515 bans
Puck
324 picks · 854 bans
Beastmaster
316 picks · 799 bans
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 71%
Hero pool strength55% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed54:22
LGD Gaming 26%PARIVISION 74%
The model gave 74% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 1:12:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
NecrophosYuma
MuertaSatanic
EnigmaWisper
Monkey KingNo[o]ne
KezTaiLung
Keeper of the Light9Class
HoodwinkThiolicor
AxeNoticed
BaneKJ
ClockwerkDukalis
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 88%
Series resultLGD Gaming 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1