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DreamLeague Season 23 · BO2
result vs prediction
PSG Questloss 0:2
series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PSG Quest

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 21 game
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
OmaR · 16 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 16 games
63%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 15 games
40%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OmaR · 15 games
47%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 15 games
33%
Tiny
Tinysignature
No!ob · 15 games
60%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
TA2000 · 15 games
47%

Xtreme Gaming

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 27 games
70%
Mars
Marssignature
Xxs · 20 games
60%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 20 games
75%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 20 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
XinQ · 18 games
72%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 17 games
65%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 17 games
71%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Ame · 16 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
490 picks · 217 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
434 picks · 639 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
417 picks · 728 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
403 picks · 573 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
402 picks · 358 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
393 picks · 165 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
371 picks · 792 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
339 picks · 943 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 54%
Hero pool strength59% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total83% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:18
PSG Quest 29%Xtreme Gaming 71%
The model gave 71% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 36:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingTA2000
45% · 245 games53% · 206 games
LunaAme
Luna
Lina
LinaNo!ob
46% · 98 games51% · 110 games
BrewmasterXxs
Brewmaster
Slardar
SlardarMalik
56% · 61 game52% · 54 games
ViperXm
Viper
Hoodwink
HoodwinkOmaR
37% · 149 games55% · 250 games
Shadow DemonXinQ
Shadow Demon
Enchantress
EnchantressDukalis
50% · 203 games56% · 136 games
DisruptorDy
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct26:35
PSG Quest 31%Xtreme Gaming 69%
The model gave 69% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 57:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterTA2000
51% · 224 games50% · 160 games
RazorAme
Razor
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMalik
50% · 238 games51% · 155 games
Storm SpiritXm
Storm Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierNo!ob
51% · 265 games51% · 120 games
EnigmaXxs
Enigma
Marci
MarciOmaR
50% · 36 games44% · 290 games
TinyXinQ
Tiny
Io
IoDukalis
50% · 94 games53% · 132 games
DisruptorDy
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 83%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2