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DreamLeague Season 23 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Liquidloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 28 games
57%
Batrider
Batridersignature
tOfu · 20 games
80%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
dyrachyo · 17 games
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
tOfu · 17 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 17 games
76%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ace · 16 games
50%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Quinn · 15 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 14 games
71%

Team Liquid

Luna
Lunaoften banned
miCKe · 32 games
53%
Rubick
Rubick
Boxi · 31 game
55%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 24 games
58%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 24 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 24 games
42%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 24 games
71%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 23 games
61%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Boxi · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 216 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
434 picks · 639 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
417 picks · 728 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
402 picks · 571 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
401 picks · 358 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
392 picks · 165 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
371 picks · 788 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
337 picks · 941 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 39%
Hero pool strength54% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head3 – 7
Model total53% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:18
Gaimin Gladiators 49%Team Liquid 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 44:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusadyrachyo
47% · 181 game54% · 225 games
LifestealermiCKe
Lifestealer
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinQuinn
48% · 209 games48% · 287 games
PuckNisha
Puck
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerAce
51% · 309 games50% · 341 game
Doom33
Doom
Rubick
RubicktOfu
50% · 311 games50% · 79 games
SlardarBoxi
Slardar
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSeleri
53% · 252 games48% · 330 games
Crystal MaideniNSaNiA
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct24:13
Gaimin Gladiators 53%Team Liquid 47%
The model gave 53% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 26:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
Clinkzdyrachyo
46% · 74 games46% · 113 games
TerrorblademiCKe
Terrorblade
Leshrac
LeshracQuinn
56% · 109 games49% · 29 games
ViperNisha
Viper
Dark Seer
Dark SeerAce
60% · 99 games43% · 118 games
Dragon Knight33
Dragon Knight
Slardar
SlardartOfu
55% · 75 games48% · 179 games
EnchantressiNSaNiA
Enchantress
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSeleri
51% · 138 games47% · 56 games
BaneBoxi
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 53%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2