?
arrow_backBack to match
RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Monteloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 21 game
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panto · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 16 games
50%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 16 games
44%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 15 games
40%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
RAMZES666 · 15 games
53%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 13 games
69%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OneJey · 12 games
42%

Monte

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
QBFY · 12 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 10 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 9 games
22%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Moonlight · 9 games
44%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Moonlight · 8 games
13%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Crystallize · 8 games
38%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
QBFY · 8 games
38%
Rubick
Rubick
QBFY · 8 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
488 picks · 215 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
436 picks · 635 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
414 picks · 731 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
402 picks · 567 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 357 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
394 picks · 163 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
371 picks · 781 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
334 picks · 935 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 29%
Hero pool strength58% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total85% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:17
HULIGANI 85%Monte 15%
The model gave 85% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 37:15.
Game 2prediction correct23:39
HULIGANI 85%Monte 15%
The model gave 85% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 28:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 85%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2