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DreamLeague Season 23 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Heroicloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 28 games
57%
Batrider
Batridersignature
tOfu · 20 games
80%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
dyrachyo · 17 games
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
tOfu · 17 games
53%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ace · 16 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 16 games
75%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 14 games
71%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 14 games
71%

Heroic

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
KJ · 34 games
47%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
4nalog · 25 games
56%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
KJ · 19 games
63%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
K1 · 18 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Scofield · 17 games
41%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
KJ · 16 games
44%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
KJ · 15 games
60%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
4nalog · 15 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
487 picks · 215 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
435 picks · 636 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
416 picks · 731 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
399 picks · 568 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
398 picks · 356 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
392 picks · 163 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
369 picks · 778 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
332 picks · 934 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 34%
Hero pool strength55% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total59% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:30
Gaimin Gladiators 53%Heroic 47%
The model gave 53% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Heroic in 51:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
Bristlebackdyrachyo
47% · 43 games51% · 32 games
AlchemistK1
Alchemist
Sniper
SniperQuinn
39% · 44 games57% · 66 games
Timbersaw4nalog
Timbersaw
Omniknight
OmniknightAce
49% · 28 games56% · 81 game
Primal BeastDavai
Primal Beast
Hoodwink
HoodwinktOfu
42% · 123 games60% · 47 games
Dark WillowScofield
Dark Willow
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorSeleri
45% · 13 games56% · 25 games
BaneKJ
Bane
Game 2prediction correct42:13
Gaimin Gladiators 53%Heroic 47%
The model gave 53% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 33:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Brewmaster
BrewmasterAce
52% · 128 games54% · 66 games
BristlebackK1
Bristleback
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassindyrachyo
53% · 99 games42% · 180 games
RazorDavai
Razor
Pangolier
PangolierQuinn
49% · 229 games57% · 339 games
Primal Beast4nalog
Primal Beast
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSeleri
46% · 174 games50% · 80 games
MarciScofield
Marci
Rubick
RubicktOfu
49% · 226 games48% · 191 game
DisruptorKJ
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 59%
Accuracy by game1 of 2