BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Rottweilas LATAMloss 0:1series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 0:1
CNCyber Novawin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rottweilas LATAM
No games played over 6 months.
Cyber Nova
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
473 picks · 308 bans
Ember Spirit
325 picks · 495 bans
Bane
306 picks · 426 bans
Clockwerk
306 picks · 367 bans
Mirana
293 picks · 109 bans
Shadow Fiend
290 picks · 617 bans
Dark Willow
286 picks · 119 bans
Centaur Warrunner
273 picks · 290 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Rottweilas LATAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Rottweilas LATAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Rottweilas LATAM 76%Cyber Nova 24%
The model gave 76% on Rottweilas LATAM — the game was taken by Cyber Nova.
Model check result
Model favoriteRottweilas LATAM · 76%
Series resultCyber Nova 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1