BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingwin 1:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Liquidloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Aurora Gaming
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 61 game
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 55 games
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 54 games
Jakirosignature
Kaori · 49 games
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 45 games
Windrangersignature
Nightfall · 41 game
Marssignature
Ws · 38 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 36 games
Team Liquid
Tinysignature
miCKe · 38 games
Tusksignature
Boxi · 36 games
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 31 game
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 30 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 28 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 26 games
Kezsignature
miCKe · 23 games
Largosignature
tOfu · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
557 picks · 343 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 566 bans
Rubick
449 picks · 235 bans
Tiny
429 picks · 358 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 514 bans
Puck
322 picks · 854 bans
Beastmaster
316 picks · 798 bans
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 5
Model total57% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:13
Aurora Gaming 47%Team Liquid 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 37:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DawnbreakerWs
Dragon KnightmiCKe
TinyNightfall
Ember SpiritNisha
PuckMikoto
UnderlordAce
WarlockKaori
HoodwinkBoxi
LionMira
RubicktOfu
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 57%
Series resultAurora Gaming 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1