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DreamLeague Season 23 · BO2
result vs prediction
Azure Raywin 2:0
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Tiny
Tinysignature
fy · 28 games
61%
Lion
Lion
fy · 27 games
56%
Techies
Techiessignature
天命 · 27 games
70%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Faith_bian · 25 games
56%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
lou · 21 game
57%
Zeus
Zeussignature
Ori · 21 game
67%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
天命 · 19 games
68%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Faith_bian · 19 games
63%

BETBOOM TEAM

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
44%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 23 games
65%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 22 games
55%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 21 game
71%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 21 game
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 20 games
65%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 18 games
72%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
gpK~ · 16 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 215 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
433 picks · 636 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
417 picks · 731 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
397 picks · 567 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
396 picks · 355 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
391 picks · 163 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
370 picks · 779 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
333 picks · 560 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 49%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total66% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:19
Azure Ray 42%BETBOOM TEAM 58%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 45:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
Clinkzlou
59% · 47 games54% · 139 games
GyrocopterNightfall
Gyrocopter
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritOri
44% · 200 games54% · 116 games
Keeper of the LightgpK~
Keeper of the Light
Viper
ViperFaith_bian
50% · 43 games52% · 25 games
Night StalkerMieRo
Night Stalker
Tiny
Tinyfy
47% · 260 games42% · 227 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Oracle
Oracle天命
57% · 67 games48% · 110 games
ClockwerkTORONTOTOKYO
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed28:14
Azure Ray 42%BETBOOM TEAM 58%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 46:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterlou
50% · 239 games43% · 216 games
MorphlingNightfall
Morphling
Primal Beast
Primal BeastOri
49% · 247 games44% · 178 games
Dragon KnightgpK~
Dragon Knight
Enigma
EnigmaFaith_bian
54% · 115 games49% · 261 game
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Grimstroke
Grimstrokefy
48% · 177 games53% · 128 games
PugnaSave-
Pugna
Treant Protector
Treant Protector天命
53% · 91 game56% · 86 games
BaneTORONTOTOKYO
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 66%
Series resultAzure Ray 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2