BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 1:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Spiritloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Tinysignature
Skiter · 31 game
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 28 games
Marsoften banned
ATF · 26 games
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
Jakirosignature
Sneyking · 23 games
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 23 games
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
Team Spirit
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 41 game
Jakirosignature
Panto · 22 games
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 22 games
Ringmaster
rue · 22 games
Tusk
rue · 22 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
Batridersignature
Collapse · 20 games
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
556 picks · 343 bans
Phoenix
475 picks · 566 bans
Rubick
449 picks · 235 bans
Tiny
428 picks · 357 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 514 bans
Puck
322 picks · 853 bans
Beastmaster
316 picks · 797 bans
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 54%
Hero pool strength51% Team Falcons
Head-to-head9 – 4
Model total72% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:22
Team Falcons 62%Team Spirit 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 43:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistSkiter
WindrangerYatoro
Primal BeastMalr1ne
PangolierLarl
RazorATF
Death ProphetCollapse
PhoenixSneyking
Hoodwinknot me
ClockwerkCr1t-
Tuskrue
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 72%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1