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DreamLeague Season 23 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PSG Questloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 28 games
57%
Batrider
Batridersignature
tOfu · 18 games
78%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
dyrachyo · 17 games
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
tOfu · 17 games
53%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ace · 16 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 16 games
75%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 14 games
71%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 13 games
69%

PSG Quest

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 21 game
57%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 15 games
60%
Tiny
Tinysignature
No!ob · 15 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 14 games
43%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Dukalis · 14 games
64%
Lion
Lionsignature
OmaR · 14 games
64%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Malik · 14 games
36%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
TA2000 · 14 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
482 picks · 215 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
438 picks · 636 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
416 picks · 734 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
397 picks · 567 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
394 picks · 350 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
394 picks · 164 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
370 picks · 766 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
335 picks · 560 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 52%
Hero pool strength53% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total63% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:12
Gaimin Gladiators 57%PSG Quest 43%
The model gave 57% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 29:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperQuinn
53% · 52 games53% · 142 games
LunaTA2000
Luna
Clinkz
Clinkzdyrachyo
34% · 48 games52% · 150 games
DoomMalik
Doom
Dark Seer
Dark SeerAce
49% · 131 game43% · 115 games
Dragon KnightNo!ob
Dragon Knight
Batrider
BatridertOfu
51% · 252 games53% · 91 game
HoodwinkOmaR
Hoodwink
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorSeleri
54% · 53 games58% · 38 games
Elder TitanDukalis
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction correct17:7
Gaimin Gladiators 55%PSG Quest 45%
The model gave 55% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 28:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracQuinn
50% · 130 games47% · 164 games
GyrocopterTA2000
Gyrocopter
Clinkz
Clinkzdyrachyo
45% · 31 game50% · 108 games
RazorNo!ob
Razor
Underlord
UnderlordAce
39% · 53 games55% · 94 games
Dark SeerMalik
Dark Seer
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LighttOfu
48% · 102 games47% · 104 games
HoodwinkOmaR
Hoodwink
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSeleri
56% · 211 games59% · 57 games
Treant ProtectorDukalis
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 63%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2