BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
4%96%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GLYPH
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 10 games
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 8 games
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 4 games
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 4 games
Kezoften banned
JaCkky · 4 games
Largooften banned
zeal · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
JaCkky · 3 games
PARIVISION
Slardarsignature
SSS · 35 games
Kezsignature
Satanic · 30 games
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 25 games
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 22 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 21 game
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
555 picks · 343 bans
Phoenix
475 picks · 566 bans
Rubick
448 picks · 235 bans
Tiny
428 picks · 357 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 513 bans
Puck
321 picks · 852 bans
Beastmaster
316 picks · 796 bans
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 70%
Hero pool strength56% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:23
GLYPH 17%PARIVISION 83%
The model gave 83% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 22:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KezJaCkky
Shadow FiendSatanic
Lycanzeal
EarthshakerNo[o]ne
SlardarEmo
AxeNoticed
WindrangerJhocam
Rubick9Class
Treant ProtectorNARMAN
BaneDukalis
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 96%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1