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RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO1
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:1
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:1
One Movewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 21 game
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panto · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 16 games
50%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 16 games
44%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 15 games
40%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
RAMZES666 · 15 games
53%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 13 games
69%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OneJey · 12 games
42%

One Move

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 10 games
30%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 8 games
38%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Rein · 8 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SSS · 8 games
25%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Wein · 7 games
14%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
xn丶e · 6 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
nesfeer · 6 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Panto · 6 games
17%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
487 picks · 215 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
440 picks · 637 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
419 picks · 738 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
399 picks · 569 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
396 picks · 166 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
393 picks · 348 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
375 picks · 772 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
340 picks · 562 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 44%
Hero pool strength57% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total65% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
HULIGANI 65%One Move 35%
The model gave 65% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by One Move.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 65%
Series resultOne Move 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1