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RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Montewin 2:0
series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Monte

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
QBFY · 12 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 10 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 9 games
22%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Moonlight · 9 games
44%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Moonlight · 8 games
13%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Crystallize · 8 games
38%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
QBFY · 8 games
38%
Rubick
Rubick
QBFY · 8 games
25%

Nemiga Gaming

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
aik · 15 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 15 games
53%
Lion
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
79%
Luna
Lunasignature
v1olent- · 14 games
71%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
queezy · 14 games
64%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 14 games
43%
Rubick
Rubick
queezy · 13 games
46%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
queezy · 12 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
485 picks · 214 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
442 picks · 637 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
419 picks · 738 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
400 picks · 564 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
396 picks · 163 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
387 picks · 342 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
372 picks · 769 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
338 picks · 561 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)24% vs 55%
Hero pool strength64% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:35
Monte 16%Nemiga Gaming 84%
The model gave 84% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Monte in 47:27.
Game 2prediction missed9:40
Monte 16%Nemiga Gaming 84%
The model gave 84% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Monte in 40:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 84%
Series resultMonte 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2